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Red51
998810.8
414320.8
584727.1
Blue83
175643.5
999713.9
339711.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65742040801001205183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#31
27.10.7
26.826.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End2.3
blue by 16.5
43.50.2
45.645.8
Auto12.3
Teleop25.8
End5.4
Second
4143
#32
20.80.7
22.321.6
Auto10.5
Teleop8.6
End1.7
red by 6.9
9997
#14
13.90.4
12.212.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.4
Third
9988
#26
10.81.1
11.910.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.3
blue by 0.9
11.70.2
11.812.1
Auto7.1
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsEarned