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Red66
71178.4
409616.4
319719.3
Blue43
631718.5
11129.7
544211.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427202060801001201406643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#15
19.30.6
17.918.5
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.3
blue by 10.5
111
#24
29.71.3
30.128.8
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End0.6
Second
4096
#17
16.40.6
16.016.6
Auto8.7
Teleop6.2
End1.6
blue by 2.2
18.51.3
19.017.7
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Third
7117
#23
8.40.6
7.88.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End2.1
blue by 3.4
5442
#33
11.81.3
13.111.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed