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Red111
306131.6
99996.4
233840.0
Blue67
999511.2
93020.0
999113.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions873605010015011167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.7
38.439.1
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.1
red by 19.9
930
#22
20.00.5
18.919.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Second
3061
#11
31.60.7
30.130.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.7
End2.8
red by 18.3
9991
#13
13.40.8
11.412.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
9999
#21
6.41.2
4.65.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 4.8
9995
#12
11.20.8
9.310.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End1.9