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Red77
319719.3
631718.5
999713.9
Blue74
940135.5
642119.3
999616.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4579020601001201401607774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#15
19.30.6
18.519.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.3
blue by 16.2
35.50.2
34.034.2
Auto14.6
Teleop19.0
End1.9
Second
18.50.6
17.718.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End1.3
blue by 0.7
6421
#29
19.30.2
17.818.0
Auto11.0
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Third
9997
#14
13.91.0
12.613.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.4
blue by 2.3
9996
#19
16.20.3
13.814.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End0.5