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Red41
99985.6
442313.2
584727.1
Blue53
90829.8
93020.0
319719.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457001001504153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#31
27.10.4
28.327.9
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End2.3
red by 7.0
930
#22
20.01.6
23.121.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Second
4423
#34
13.20.7
10.39.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End1.1
blue by 6.1
3197
#15
19.31.6
23.722.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Third
9998
#28
5.60.7
6.55.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.2
End1.2
blue by 4.2
9082
#16
9.81.6
13.211.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned