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Red81
657413.2
339711.7
999616.2
Blue48
178121.9
71178.4
999113.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4138102030506070808148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9996
#19
16.24.5
9.814.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End0.5
blue by 5.6
1781
#27
21.90.7
23.524.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End1.7
Second
6574
#10
13.22.7
11.414.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End0.9
blue by 0.1
9991
#13
13.41.1
7.08.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
11.72.7
9.612.3
Auto7.1
Teleop3.6
End1.0
red by 3.3
7117
#23
8.40.7
7.27.9
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed