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Red75
270415.0
414320.8
170641.0
Blue81
11129.7
584727.1
765713.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88760501502002503007581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.3
41.241.0
Auto12.0
Teleop25.2
End3.8
red by 11.2
111
#24
29.70.1
29.629.7
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End0.6
Second
4143
#32
20.80.3
21.020.8
Auto10.5
Teleop8.6
End1.7
blue by 6.3
5847
#31
27.10.1
26.927.0
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End2.3
Third
15.00.3
15.315.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
red by 1.7
13.30.1
13.113.2
Auto7.8
Teleop4.4
End1.1