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Red96
306131.6
99996.4
233840.0
Blue74
175643.5
178121.9
248139.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781300501001502002509674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.2
39.639.8
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.1
blue by 3.5
43.50.9
45.344.4
Auto12.3
Teleop25.8
End5.4
Second
3061
#11
31.60.2
31.231.5
Auto11.2
Teleop17.7
End2.8
blue by 8.2
39.80.9
41.740.8
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End4.4
Third
9999
#21
6.40.3
5.86.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 15.4
1781
#27
21.90.9
23.722.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End1.7