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Red101
270415.0
170641.0
414320.8
Blue92
940135.5
642119.3
999616.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82845060709010011012010192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.3
41.641.2
Auto12.0
Teleop25.2
End3.8
red by 5.5
35.50.3
35.235.5
Auto14.6
Teleop19.0
End1.9
Second
4143
#32
20.80.3
21.421.0
Auto10.5
Teleop8.6
End1.7
red by 1.5
6421
#29
19.30.3
19.019.3
Auto11.0
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Third
15.00.3
15.615.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 1.2
9996
#19
16.20.4
15.816.2
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End0.5