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Red54
319719.3
631718.5
999713.9
Blue64
11129.7
584727.1
765713.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488201001505464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#15
19.30.1
19.219.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.3
blue by 10.5
111
#24
29.70.1
29.729.6
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End0.6
Second
18.50.1
18.518.5
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End1.3
blue by 8.5
5847
#31
27.10.1
27.026.9
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End2.3
Third
9997
#14
13.90.1
13.813.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.4
red by 0.6
13.30.1
13.313.1
Auto7.8
Teleop4.4
End1.1