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Red111
248139.8
178121.9
175643.5
Blue74
170641.0
414320.8
270415.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1298305010015020011174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.0
45.445.3
Auto12.3
Teleop25.8
End5.4
red by 2.5
41.00.4
42.041.6
Auto12.0
Teleop25.2
End3.8
Second
39.80.0
41.741.7
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End4.4
red by 19.1
4143
#32
20.80.4
21.821.4
Auto10.5
Teleop8.6
End1.7
Third
1781
#27
21.90.0
23.723.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End1.7
red by 6.8
15.00.4
16.115.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9