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Red101
306131.6
90829.8
233840.0
Blue61
319719.3
631718.5
999713.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9446015020010161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.4
39.139.6
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.1
red by 20.7
3197
#15
19.30.1
19.119.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Second
3061
#11
31.60.4
30.831.2
Auto11.2
Teleop17.7
End2.8
red by 13.1
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Third
9082
#16
9.80.4
9.49.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End1.6
blue by 4.1
9997
#14
13.90.2
13.613.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.4