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Red29
518813.3
46125.4
90974.4
Blue52
164618.4
174125.9
44857.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556602040801001202952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#14
25.41.5
27.225.7
Auto7.3
Teleop17.2
End0.9
blue by 0.5
25.90.4
29.028.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End2.9
Second
5188
#28
13.31.5
17.315.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 5.1
1646
#18
18.40.4
18.818.4
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Third
9097
#30
4.41.5
6.95.4
Auto0.6
Teleop2.7
End1.1
blue by 3.2
4485
#27
7.60.4
10.410.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed