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Red46
765716.2
17207.3
540217.3
Blue48
394022.1
4518.9
87429.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50680204060801001201404648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#12
17.30.4
20.119.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
blue by 4.8
22.10.7
24.323.5
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Second
7657
#17
16.20.4
18.017.6
Auto8.3
Teleop6.5
End1.5
blue by 2.7
45
#19
18.90.7
22.722.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End1.5
Third
1720
#15
7.30.4
9.08.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End1.8
blue by 2.2
8742
#20
9.50.7
12.111.4
Auto5.8
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed