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Red48
317618.5
4518.9
174125.9
Blue59
394022.1
672116.2
582218.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79620501001504859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.92.1
28.726.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End2.9
red by 3.8
22.10.1
22.822.8
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Second
45
#19
18.92.1
21.018.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End1.5
red by 0.5
5822
#11
18.42.2
22.320.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
18.52.1
19.617.6
Auto9.0
Teleop8.3
End1.2
red by 2.4
6721
#16
16.20.1
15.115.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed