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Red33
102415.8
44857.6
23417.2
Blue42
17207.3
501024.7
518813.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4753020801001201401603342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#22
17.20.7
17.516.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End0.7
blue by 7.5
24.70.3
25.224.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Second
1024
#23
15.80.7
16.415.7
Auto7.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
red by 2.5
5188
#28
13.30.3
14.814.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Third
4485
#27
7.60.7
9.28.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.0
red by 0.3
1720
#15
7.30.3
7.26.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed