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Red64
172017.3
314721.2
501032.8
Blue41
949115.1
386510.3
13524.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions733902060801001201406441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#19
32.80.2
29.829.9
Auto9.1
Teleop22.1
End1.6
red by 8.0
135
#18
24.80.1
18.318.5
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End1.7
Second
3147
#22
21.20.2
16.416.6
Auto9.3
Teleop9.5
End2.4
red by 6.1
9491
#32
15.10.1
11.011.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Third
1720
#33
17.30.2
15.415.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
red by 7.1
3865
#29
10.30.1
9.79.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed