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Red49
101819.4
164618.7
4528.3
Blue80
649823.6
745737.4
498226.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63862040801001201404980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#6
28.30.8
22.221.4
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.7
blue by 9.0
7457
#12
37.40.3
37.037.3
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
Second
1018
#36
19.40.8
19.018.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.8
blue by 7.6
4982
#21
26.90.3
21.021.3
Auto10.3
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Third
1646
#38
18.70.8
18.517.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 4.9
23.60.3
17.117.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed