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Red74
174729.3
761726.3
492622.5
Blue112
82931.1
174134.0
810329.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718940608010012014074112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#26
29.30.3
25.224.9
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End3.4
blue by 4.7
1741
#15
34.02.2
28.630.8
Auto11.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Second
7617
#14
26.30.3
20.820.5
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
blue by 4.7
829
#13
31.12.2
27.930.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End3.4
Third
4926
#25
22.50.3
20.620.3
Auto10.1
Teleop9.9
End2.5
blue by 7.1
29.62.2
21.924.2
Auto10.6
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed