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Red70
13524.8
548434.6
29232.8
Blue64
394031.2
94318.8
102427.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885802040801001201401607064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.7
25.124.4
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End0.2
red by 3.4
3940
#24
31.20.5
25.425.9
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End3.9
Second
292
#17
32.80.7
31.831.0
Auto13.6
Teleop17.8
End1.4
red by 4.9
1024
#10
27.90.5
24.324.8
Auto11.3
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Third
135
#18
24.80.7
19.118.4
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End1.7
red by 16.0
9431
#37
8.80.5
6.67.1
Auto5.1
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed