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Red111
4528.3
174729.3
86833.5
Blue84
13524.8
501032.8
101819.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90702040608010012014011184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#4
33.52.1
32.234.4
Auto15.3
Teleop15.0
End3.3
red by 0.7
5010
#19
32.81.2
28.830.1
Auto9.1
Teleop22.1
End1.6
Second
1747
#26
29.32.1
23.625.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End3.4
red by 4.5
135
#18
24.81.2
18.519.7
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End1.7
Third
45
#6
28.32.1
22.925.0
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.7
red by 9.0
1018
#36
19.41.2
18.219.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed