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Red67
164618.7
314721.2
498226.9
Blue106
150136.0
745737.4
172017.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54100020408012014067106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#21
26.90.5
21.321.8
Auto10.3
Teleop13.8
End2.8
blue by 10.4
7457
#12
37.41.4
37.338.7
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
Second
3147
#22
21.20.5
16.617.1
Auto9.3
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 14.8
36.01.4
32.133.5
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End6.1
Third
1646
#38
18.70.5
16.717.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
red by 1.4
1720
#33
17.31.4
15.617.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed84%Ensemble oddsEarned