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Red64
29232.8
23427.9
386510.3
Blue66
810329.6
765717.9
548434.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688240601001206466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#17
32.80.1
31.331.2
Auto13.6
Teleop17.8
End1.4
blue by 1.8
34.60.4
28.628.2
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End0.2
Second
234
#30
27.90.1
23.423.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.5
End1.9
blue by 1.7
29.60.4
25.324.9
Auto10.6
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Third
3865
#29
10.30.1
8.78.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
blue by 7.7
7657
#35
17.90.4
18.618.2
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed