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Red65
317622.2
518821.2
174134.0
Blue90
949115.1
349429.3
102427.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88622040801001201401606590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#15
34.00.8
31.330.5
Auto11.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
red by 4.8
29.31.4
23.625.0
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End6.0
Second
3176
#27
22.20.8
22.121.4
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 5.7
1024
#10
27.91.4
24.826.2
Auto11.3
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Third
5188
#31
21.20.8
22.922.2
Auto10.3
Teleop9.4
End1.5
red by 6.1
9491
#32
15.11.4
11.112.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned