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Red79
82931.1
649823.6
348724.7
Blue97
46138.8
427235.5
843017.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768802040601001201401607997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#13
31.10.6
30.330.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End3.4
blue by 7.8
461
#1
38.81.3
31.933.2
Auto12.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
Second
3487
#28
24.70.6
23.724.3
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
blue by 10.8
35.51.3
32.233.5
Auto12.8
Teleop20.7
End2.0
Third
23.60.6
15.916.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 6.3
8430
#23
17.31.3
13.715.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned