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Red72
94318.8
150136.0
164618.7
Blue91
394031.2
174729.3
13524.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628120401001201407291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.9
33.534.4
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End6.1
red by 4.8
3940
#24
31.21.2
25.726.8
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End3.9
Second
1646
#38
18.70.9
17.218.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 10.5
1747
#26
29.31.2
25.827.0
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End3.4
Third
9431
#37
8.80.9
8.18.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.2
End1.5
blue by 16.0
135
#18
24.81.2
19.720.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsMissed