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Red63
843017.3
498226.9
349429.3
Blue68
761726.3
649823.6
427235.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668420401001201406368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.1
25.025.0
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End6.0
blue by 6.3
35.50.4
33.533.1
Auto12.8
Teleop20.7
End2.0
Second
4982
#21
26.90.1
21.821.9
Auto10.3
Teleop13.8
End2.8
red by 0.6
7617
#14
26.30.4
23.823.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Third
8430
#23
17.30.1
15.015.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End2.4
blue by 6.3
23.60.4
16.516.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed