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Red58
765717.9
348724.7
745737.4
Blue95
386510.3
86833.5
82931.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91802040601001201401605895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#12
37.41.5
38.737.1
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
red by 3.8
868
#4
33.50.4
34.434.8
Auto15.3
Teleop15.0
End3.3
Second
3487
#28
24.71.5
24.322.8
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
blue by 6.4
829
#13
31.10.4
30.931.3
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End3.4
Third
7657
#35
17.91.5
18.216.7
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End0.8
red by 7.7
3865
#29
10.30.4
8.69.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned