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Red110
102427.9
745737.4
46138.8
Blue72
29232.8
765717.9
150136.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128740608010012014016018011072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#1
38.80.1
34.934.7
Auto12.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
red by 2.8
36.00.6
34.033.4
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End6.1
Second
7457
#12
37.40.1
36.736.5
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
red by 4.5
292
#17
32.80.6
32.031.3
Auto13.6
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Third
1024
#10
27.90.1
26.626.5
Auto11.3
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 10.0
7657
#35
17.90.6
15.615.0
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
74%Ensemble oddsEarned45%Ensemble oddsMissed