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Red73
649823.6
518821.2
501032.8
Blue58
548434.6
492622.5
23427.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718440601001201407358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#19
32.80.2
29.128.9
Auto9.1
Teleop22.1
End1.6
blue by 1.8
34.61.1
29.528.4
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End0.2
Second
23.60.2
16.115.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End2.1
blue by 4.3
234
#30
27.91.1
24.423.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Third
5188
#31
21.20.2
20.720.5
Auto10.3
Teleop9.4
End1.5
blue by 1.4
4926
#25
22.51.1
20.819.6
Auto10.1
Teleop9.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed