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Red99
13524.8
86833.5
810329.6
Blue93
101819.4
498226.9
174134.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90762040601001201409993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#4
33.50.9
34.335.2
Auto15.3
Teleop15.0
End3.3
blue by 0.5
1741
#15
34.00.8
28.829.6
Auto11.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Second
29.60.9
26.427.4
Auto10.6
Teleop16.6
End2.4
red by 2.7
4982
#21
26.90.8
23.224.0
Auto10.3
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Third
135
#18
24.80.9
19.420.4
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End1.7
red by 5.4
1018
#36
19.40.8
18.819.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed