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Red60
23427.9
949115.1
164618.7
Blue84
843017.3
102427.9
29232.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528502040601001206084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#30
27.90.6
23.323.9
Auto6.5
Teleop19.5
End1.9
blue by 4.9
292
#17
32.80.7
31.332.0
Auto13.6
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Second
1646
#38
18.70.6
15.616.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 9.2
1024
#10
27.90.7
26.527.2
Auto11.3
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Third
9491
#32
15.10.6
12.212.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
blue by 2.2
8430
#23
17.30.7
15.416.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned