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Red80
745737.4
548434.6
314721.2
Blue96
492622.5
46138.8
649823.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947540601001201408096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#12
37.40.2
36.536.3
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
blue by 1.5
461
#1
38.81.6
34.736.3
Auto12.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
Second
34.60.2
28.428.2
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End0.2
red by 11.0
23.61.6
15.917.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Third
3147
#22
21.20.2
18.117.9
Auto9.3
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 1.3
4926
#25
22.51.6
19.621.2
Auto10.1
Teleop9.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned