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Red82
174134.0
102427.9
348724.7
Blue91
498226.9
4528.3
672118.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9071204060801001201408291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#15
34.00.2
29.629.8
Auto11.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
red by 5.7
45
#6
28.31.6
26.528.2
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Second
1024
#10
27.90.2
27.227.4
Auto11.3
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 1.0
4982
#21
26.91.6
24.025.6
Auto10.3
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Third
3487
#28
24.70.2
22.422.6
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
red by 6.3
6721
#16
18.41.6
16.117.7
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned