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Red80
548434.6
649823.6
949115.1
Blue78
810329.6
164618.7
174729.3
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628120401001201408078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.4
28.229.6
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End0.2
red by 5.0
29.60.4
27.427.8
Auto10.6
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Second
23.61.4
17.518.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End2.1
blue by 5.6
1747
#26
29.30.4
27.928.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End3.4
Third
9491
#32
15.11.4
12.814.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
blue by 3.6
1646
#38
18.70.4
16.216.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsMissed