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Red37
174729.3
94318.8
843017.3
Blue89
745737.4
174134.0
386510.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54882040801001201403789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#26
29.31.1
28.327.2
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End3.4
blue by 8.1
7457
#12
37.40.9
36.137.0
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
Second
8430
#23
17.31.1
15.914.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End2.4
blue by 16.7
1741
#15
34.00.9
29.830.7
Auto11.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Third
9431
#37
8.81.1
8.87.7
Auto5.1
Teleop2.2
End1.5
blue by 1.5
3865
#29
10.30.9
9.510.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsEarned