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Red83
219724.5
427235.5
101819.4
Blue82
492622.5
102427.9
164618.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85682040601001201408382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.5
34.134.6
Auto12.8
Teleop20.7
End2.0
red by 7.6
1024
#10
27.91.2
27.428.6
Auto11.3
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Second
2197
#11
24.50.5
22.723.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End2.2
red by 1.9
4926
#25
22.51.2
19.921.1
Auto10.1
Teleop9.9
End2.5
Third
1018
#36
19.40.5
18.418.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.8
red by 0.6
1646
#38
18.71.2
16.617.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed