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Red69
82931.1
29232.8
317622.2
Blue85
348724.7
498226.9
540221.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10170204060801201401606985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#17
32.81.2
32.631.4
Auto13.6
Teleop17.8
End1.4
red by 5.9
4982
#21
26.90.9
25.626.5
Auto10.3
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Second
829
#13
31.11.2
33.332.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End3.4
red by 6.4
3487
#28
24.70.9
22.623.5
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
Third
3176
#27
22.21.2
21.420.2
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 0.6
5402
#34
21.60.9
18.519.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed