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Red70
745427.6
101819.4
765717.9
Blue104
548434.6
174134.0
843017.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678520406010012014070104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7454
#20
27.60.5
26.026.5
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 7.1
34.61.9
29.631.5
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End0.2
Second
1018
#36
19.40.5
18.919.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.8
blue by 14.7
1741
#15
34.01.9
30.732.6
Auto11.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Third
7657
#35
17.90.5
18.018.4
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End0.8
red by 0.6
8430
#23
17.31.9
14.916.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed