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Red81
4528.3
174134.0
94318.8
Blue51
164618.7
649823.6
29232.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63742040801001208151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#15
34.01.5
29.731.3
Auto11.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
red by 1.2
292
#17
32.81.0
31.030.1
Auto13.6
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Second
45
#6
28.31.5
21.422.9
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.7
red by 4.7
23.61.0
16.915.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Third
9431
#37
8.81.5
7.18.7
Auto5.1
Teleop2.2
End1.5
blue by 9.9
1646
#38
18.71.0
17.616.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed