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Red80
765717.9
172017.3
349429.3
Blue70
427235.5
672118.4
745737.4
2%Model gave it98%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49102204060801201401601808070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.9
21.022.9
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End6.0
blue by 8.1
7457
#12
37.41.4
37.736.3
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
Second
7657
#35
17.91.9
16.418.3
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End0.8
blue by 17.6
35.51.4
35.133.7
Auto12.8
Teleop20.7
End2.0
Third
1720
#33
17.31.9
13.615.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 1.1
6721
#16
18.41.4
13.411.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed