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Red67
101819.4
843017.3
348724.7
Blue95
23427.9
46138.8
86833.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310701506795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#28
24.70.9
21.722.6
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
blue by 14.1
461
#1
38.80.3
33.333.6
Auto12.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
Second
1018
#36
19.40.9
19.320.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.8
blue by 14.2
868
#4
33.50.3
32.532.8
Auto15.3
Teleop15.0
End3.3
Third
8430
#23
17.30.9
13.013.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End2.4
blue by 10.6
234
#30
27.90.3
24.424.7
Auto6.5
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed