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Red73
518821.2
843017.3
394031.2
Blue94
745737.4
4528.3
761726.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67106204060801201401607394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#24
31.20.5
28.128.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End3.9
blue by 6.1
7457
#12
37.40.8
35.835.0
Auto14.5
Teleop16.9
End6.0
Second
5188
#31
21.20.5
20.721.2
Auto10.3
Teleop9.4
End1.5
blue by 7.1
45
#6
28.30.8
28.327.5
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.7
Third
8430
#23
17.30.5
16.817.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End2.4
blue by 9.0
7617
#14
26.30.8
27.026.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed71%Ensemble oddsEarned