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Red74
427235.5
317622.2
172017.3
Blue96
501032.8
23427.9
174729.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799240601001201407496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.1
34.534.6
Auto12.8
Teleop20.7
End2.0
red by 2.7
5010
#19
32.80.9
29.230.2
Auto9.1
Teleop22.1
End1.6
Second
3176
#27
22.20.1
21.221.3
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 7.1
1747
#26
29.30.9
26.026.9
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End3.4
Third
1720
#33
17.30.1
17.317.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 10.6
234
#30
27.90.9
26.827.7
Auto6.5
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed