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Red68
672118.4
82931.1
101819.4
Blue95
174134.0
13524.8
314721.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74864060801001201406895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#13
31.10.0
30.930.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End3.4
blue by 2.9
1741
#15
34.01.3
32.633.9
Auto11.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Second
1018
#36
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.8
blue by 5.4
135
#18
24.81.3
23.624.8
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End1.7
Third
6721
#16
18.40.0
18.218.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End3.0
blue by 2.8
3147
#22
21.21.3
19.921.2
Auto9.3
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned