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Red74
86833.5
102427.9
765717.9
Blue102
649823.6
540221.6
810329.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93732040608010012014074102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#4
33.50.5
34.734.2
Auto15.3
Teleop15.0
End3.3
red by 3.9
29.61.6
28.129.6
Auto10.6
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Second
1024
#10
27.90.5
28.528.0
Auto11.3
Teleop13.9
End2.7
red by 4.3
23.61.6
21.523.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Third
7657
#35
17.90.5
18.417.9
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End0.8
blue by 3.7
5402
#34
21.61.6
19.120.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned