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Red86
349429.3
164618.7
745427.6
Blue95
348724.7
29232.8
492622.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808540601001201408695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.8
28.929.7
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End6.0
blue by 3.6
292
#17
32.81.3
31.432.7
Auto13.6
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Second
7454
#20
27.60.8
26.527.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 2.9
3487
#28
24.71.3
23.424.7
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
Third
1646
#38
18.70.8
17.918.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 3.8
4926
#25
22.51.3
21.322.5
Auto10.1
Teleop9.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed