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Red51
314715.4
501030.5
843013.3
Blue38
761710.6
492615.7
745416.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4747384042444648505138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.0
21.722.6
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 14.5
7454
#17
16.00.7
14.013.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Second
3147
#15
15.40.6
13.313.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.4
blue by 0.3
4926
#27
15.70.7
14.513.8
Auto8.4
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Third
8430
#20
13.31.0
7.48.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
red by 2.7
7617
#25
10.60.7
14.213.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed