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Red74
810321.9
94918.8
745726.0
Blue39
4522.3
4479.8
94535.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614220801007439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.02.4
24.827.1
Auto15.3
Teleop7.9
End2.8
red by 3.7
45
#14
22.30.1
20.019.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Second
8103
#10
21.91.4
18.820.2
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
red by 12.2
447
#29
9.80.2
12.212.0
Auto1.0
Teleop5.7
End3.1
Third
9491
#32
8.82.4
9.111.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.2
red by 3.5
9453
#34
5.20.2
8.48.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed