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Red73
498216.1
29224.0
349419.9
Blue65
35596.4
649815.6
4522.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483902060807365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#8
24.03.1
18.021.1
Auto10.6
Teleop13.7
End-0.3
red by 1.7
45
#14
22.30.5
19.920.5
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Second
19.93.1
17.120.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.0
red by 4.3
6498
#24
15.60.9
12.913.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Third
4982
#26
16.13.1
7.610.7
Auto8.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 9.7
3559
#33
6.40.9
3.94.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned